Mortgage Reports

Mortgage Rates Newsletter - Market Analysis

Daily Mortgage Rates Update Archive Description

Mortgage rates finished the week in much better territory compared to last Friday. Today only added modestly to that move, but the simple act of moving in a friendly direction feels like a major victory after coming toe to toe with the highest rates in more than 3 months (last week). There weren't any obvious reasons for today's meager gains. In fact, the underlying bond market was slightly weaker on the day (which usually implies higher rates). But lenders were still getting caught up with the week's previous bond market gains and thus managed to overlook the contrary cues from the market. In the slightly bigger picture, this week can be seen as the bond market's way of saying it's not quite ready yet to embark on a panicked race back toward higher rates . The question remains: is that sort
Posted: November 16, 2019, 12:06 am
Mortgage rates moved lower again today. Whereas it was a bit easier to be dismissive about recent improvements, they're starting to add up at this point. Granted, we're not talking about anything other than a return to the rates seen on November 6th, but for anyone who was rate shopping at the end of last week, that's a welcome change. As if often the case on Thursdays, there is a major discrepancy between much of today's mortgage rate news and what I'm telling you here. Specifically, whereas I'm telling you rates are lower today and as low as they've been in more than a week, the average major media outlet is saying rates are HIGHER this week. As usual (at least when it comes to rates on Thursdays), I'm right and they're wrong. Actually, I'm right in a timely way and they're right if the goal
Posted: November 14, 2019, 9:57 pm
Mortgage rates have been more willing to move higher than lower recently. While that may continue to be the case in the near-term future, there have been pockets of resistance to that trend. The first 2 days of this week seem to be just such a pocket. The direction of the movement is good, but the magnitude may leave a bit to be desired, depending on your standards. The average loan scenario would still be seeing the same "note rate" quote as yesterday, but the effective rate would be slightly better due to lower upfront borrowing costs. In the bigger picture, it makes sense to remain defensive about the possibility that the broader trend toward higher rates can continue. We'd need to see a much more substantial push back toward lower rates in order to abandon that defensive stance. Loan Originator
Posted: November 13, 2019, 11:24 pm
Mortgage rates had a bad October . November hasn't exactly been great either, with last Thursday being one of the worst days of the year in terms of day-over-day jumps in rates. In addition to the abrupt move, last week's weakness also brought rates in line with their highest levels in more than 3 months. All of the above could be part of a bigger shift away from the prevailing trend toward lower rates (which had been intact since last November) and into a new trend of rising rates. This newer, unfriendlier trend arguably tried to make an appearance in mid September but was quickly shut down as rates nearly returned to the super-long-term lows seen earlier that month. Notably though, they failed to make it all the way back down to those lows, and that can be an early warning sign of a shift
Posted: November 12, 2019, 10:17 pm
Mortgage rates launched to their highest levels in more than 3 months yesterday for a variety of reasons. Chief among them was a series of comments from both China and the US about the intent to cancel previously announced tariffs as a part of the phase 1 trade deal. Tariffs and trade have been weighing on the economic outlook in a big way, and that's benefited interest rates. Anything that lessens the weight has the opposite effect. Notably, the bond market failed to improve very much today even after Trump said that there was no agreement to roll back tariffs yet, even though there was a clear reaction. This could be due to the fact that markets expect a deal to be worked out eventually, but bigger-picture momentum is also a consideration. Simply put, rates have been moving so much lower
Posted: November 9, 2019, 12:23 am