Mortgage Reports

Mortgage Rates Newsletter - Market Analysis

Daily Mortgage Rates Update Archive Description

Mortgage rates were steady to slightly lower today, despite fairly substantial movement in underlying bond markets. Bond prices ultimately do more to inform mortgage rates than anything else. Prices moved higher today by an amount that would typically result in effective rates falling 0.03-0.05% depending on the lender. But as it stands, the average lender is only 0.01% lower than yesterday's latest offerings. Given recent volatility, it's not outside the realm of possibility that lenders are simply waiting to make sure the gains are still around tomorrow before they adjust rate sheets more aggressively. This would fit with recent patterns of lender rate sheet movement lagging bond market movement. As for today's market motivation, the lion's share of the movement happened after the Fed Announcement
Posted: July 26, 2017, 10:45 pm
Mortgage rates moved abruptly higher today, erasing the improvement seen last week. An entire week's worth of movement may or may not be worth stressing out about depending on your perspective. On one hand, we're only talking about a change of roughly 0.06% in terms of the "effective rate" on the average 30yr fixed loan. That'll cost you about $7/month on a $200k loan. On the other hand, last week was the best in more than 2 months. While erasing those gains might not be dramatic in terms of outright financial impact, it could signal a shift in the overall trend. There are 2 trends to consider at the moment. The first only stretches back to early July, and that's the one that's clearly under attack. The other trend is one of general improvement since March 2017, and we'd need to see several
Posted: July 25, 2017, 8:26 pm
Mortgage rates held steady today, which leaves them in line with the lowest levels in July. In underlying bond markets (bond movement directly impacts lenders' rate offerings), it was an exceptionally quiet day--especially for mortgage-related bonds. Activity should increase somewhat as the week progresses. That's a typical pattern for most weeks--all other things being equal (Mondays and Fridays tend to be slower)--but we'll also get events that tend to draw out more participation among traders. The most obvious calendar item is the Fed Announcement on Wednesday. Keep in mind, there are two different varieties of Fed Announcements. Of the 8 announcements each year, 4 of them are accompanied by a press conference with the Fed Chair, as well as economic projections. Whether by design or otherwise
Posted: July 24, 2017, 9:18 pm
Mortgage rates moved lower today, setting yet another new low for the month of July. For the past 2 weeks, rates have been pushing back against a fairly abrupt spike that took place heading into the month. Concerns over the European Central Bank's (ECB's) bond buying plans sparked the move higher, but those concerns were officially put to rest as of yesterday. In simpler terms, extra demand for bonds pushes bond prices higher and rates lower. The ECB buys LOTS of bonds. This puts downward pressure on rates around the world (more so in Europe than in the US, but we still get some indirect benefit). There was some concern at the end of June that the ECB was getting closer to announcing it would buy fewer bonds (thus the rate spike heading into July). While that day will likely come eventually
Posted: July 21, 2017, 10:09 pm
Mortgage rates held relatively steady today, keeping them in line with the lowest levels in more than 3 weeks. There was relatively little market movement in response to the policy announcement from the European Central Bank (ECB). That's a good thing considering much of the recent gains in rates can be attributed to traders growing more optimistic about the ECB's stance. To put all this in plain English , the ECB buys bonds. This puts downward pressure on rates around the world (more so in Europe than in the US, but we still get some indirect benefit). There was some concern at the end of June that the ECB was getting closer to announcing it would buy fewer bonds. While that day will likely come eventually, today's announcement assures markets that it hasn't been discussed yet. The relatively
Posted: July 20, 2017, 11:06 pm